The Republican Bill: Just like the status quo!
Posted on November 5th, 2009 by Jason Rosenbaum in Profits Before PeopleCBO numbers are in [pdf] on the Republican health care bill and guess what? It'll do nothing!
After 10 years, the Republican health care bill will reduce the number of uninsured by a paltry 3 million, leaving 52 million uninsured. The CBO goes on, "The share of legal nonelderly residents with insurance coverage in 2019 would be about 83 percent, roughly in line with the current share."
Compare this to the Democratic health care bill coming up for a vote, which the CBO says would cover up to 96% of Americans.
And in the area of reducing the deficit, typically a Republican mainstay, the CBO says the Republican bill would do less compared to the House bill up for a vote shortly.
Republicans will claim that the CBO says their bill will reduce premiums. The question, as Jon Cohn explains, is how:
By weakening or removing requirements that insurance cover certain services–everything from cancer screenings to mental health–the Republican bill would likely result in people getting insurance that covers less. That is, based on a quick canvassing of people who have read the report, the meaning of this passage:
The second source of change in average insurance premiums is changes in the average extent of coverage purchased. … With other factors held equal, insurance policies that cover more benefits or services or have smaller copayments or deductibles have higher premiums, while policies that cover fewer benefits or services or have larger copayments or deductibles have lower premiums. Provisions in the amendment that would reduce insurance premiums by affecting the amount of coverage purchased include the State Innovations program, which would encourage states to reduce the number and extent of benefit mandates that they impose, and provisions that would allow individuals or affiliated groups to purchase insurance policies in other states that have less stringent mandates.
So, yes, the Republican health care bill will lower premiums overall. But many people in poor health will see their premiums go up. And many people will get lower premiums only because they’re getting inferior coverage.
Of course, as noted yesterday, the CBO implies the House bill will reduce premiums as well, while providing better coverage, though they haven't examined the question directly.
So let's review. The Republican bill would do nothing to change the number of uninsured in this country. It would reduce the quality of coverage you get, and sick people would pay more, to say nothing of continued denials for pre-existing conditions. And the bill would do less to reduce the deficit than the Democratic bill.
The Republican bill: 219 pages of wasted paper, all to preserve the status quo. And that's great news for the insurance industry.









