No Ezra, the excise tax is not a "good thing"
Posted on October 16th, 2009 by Richard Kirsch, National Campaign Director in Solutions that Work|
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Ezra Klein at the Washington Post takes issue with Health Care for America Now's stance on the excise tax.
I appreciate Ezra saying he has a lot of respect for HCAN. We continue to differ on the policy issues around taxing higher cost health benefits, whether doing it head-on as was proposed in the past, or through the back-door, as is the case with the 40% excise tax on high cost plans in the Senate Finance bill.
First, Ezra claims that the excise tax is isn't really a tax on the middle class:
The ad says the excise tax is "a 40% tax on health-care benefits of middle-class workers." It isn't. It's not even a little like that. It's a 40 percent tax on employer-provided health-care benefits above $21,000 for a family, and $8,000 for an individual. If your family's health-care premiums cost $23,000, then there's a 40 percent tax on $2,000 of your premiums. It's inconceivable that anyone's full health-care policy would be taxed at 40 percent.
Moreover, your family's health-care premiums probably don't cost $23,000. The average employer-provided health-care plan cost $13,375 in 2009. There are some middle-class workers with uncommonly generous health-care plans, but they're not the norm. This isn't as progressive as a tax on millionaires, but it is, in general, progressive. Goldman Sachs traders, for instance, have health-care plans valued around $40,000 a year. Wal-Mart employees don't.
But income and the value of people's health care plans do not correlate. The Communications Workers of America, using data from the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) and an analysis by Citizens for Tax Justice (CTJ), concluded that 40% of health care plans will be hit by this excise tax by 2019.
Second, as Ezra notes, the excise tax "isn't as progressive as a tax on millionaires. " Yup. Health Care for America Now is for progressive financing, which is why our new ads push for having people who earn more than $250,000 pay their fair share. That's what the House bill does and it's what the President's initial proposal to fund health care through lowering tax deductions for people who earn more than $250,000 does too.
Ezra goes on to support employers buying less generous health care plans for their employees:
The argument against the excise tax is that it cuts the deficit by encouraging employers to shop for cheaper plans. The Joint Committee on Taxes suggests that the tax won't raise money because people will pay it. It will raise money because it will encourage employers to purchase cheaper plans for their employees and divert money they've saved into wages, which are taxable income. That means that a number of very generous plans will become more like middle-range plans. They'll have deductibles if they don't already, tighter networks, tiered drug formularies and so forth. Any plan that's lavish enough to even near the tax is going to remain a very generous plan, but it will become less so on the margin.
Some people, myself included, think that's a good thing.
I don't.
The problem here is confusing cutting costs with shifting costs. Cutting costs means finding ways to make health care more efficient and to provide better care for the same or less money. But shifting costs is different. By incentivizing employers to offer less generous health care benefits, which means higher deductibles and the like, "costs" may go down, but in reality the policy simply transfers these costs to the worker. Moreover, higher out-of-pocket costs can discourage people from getting the care they need.
Cutting a "generous" benefit like dental care just means more cavities and poorer health. The U.S. already has much higher out-of-pocket costs than other developed countries, which of course spend much less on health care. Let's control costs by developing the right incentives for providers of care, not the wrong incentives for consumers.
Ezra's off too when he says that the current tax exclusion is regressive, because the marginal tax rate is higher for richer people. Because the cost of health care is a fixed amount, independent of an employee's income, the tax break given through employer sponsored coverage is more valuable to an average family than a wealthy family, even after the tax impact is accounted for.
For example, for a family that makes $60,000, if their employer pays $12,000 towards coverage, that's 20% of their income. The tax break make makes it worth closer to $15,000, 25% of their income. For a family that makes $240,000, that same employer coverage is worth 5% of their income and the tax break is higher, which takes the value up to $16,000, or 7% of their income. Sure the rich guy gets a bigger tax break, but that extra $3,000 is worth a lot more to the working guy than the $4,000 is too the rich family. That's why the tax break for employer coverage actually makes health care much less regressive. And it's a benefit not to be given up lightly.
To put it another way, Ezra is saying that it would be unfair to give a working family grandstand tickets to the World Series because you're giving the rich guy a box seat as well. Who would be happier, the guy who would be thrilled to get to go the game he couldn't afford on his own? Or the rich stiff who can settle into a box seat anytime he wants.
Here's the bottom line: Policy wonks need to think more like an average person. Placing a tax on high cost health plans will simply make health care less affordable for lots of middle class families. That's exactly the opposite of what health care reform is supposed to do.
With all due respect, Mr. Kirsch, I have to disagree with you, and agree with Ezra. Do you honestly expect this President to sign a bill increasing the the top marginal tax rate from 35 percent to at least 48.6 percent — and probably much more if it includes only families earning above $1,000,000/yr. — in just two years, and still leave a $1 trillion hole in the deficit from 2020-2029? I don't. The excise tax on high-end plans leaves a $1 trillion surplus from 2020-2029 — meaning unlike the millionaire tax, we won't in ten years have to find another $1 trillion over 10 years.
There is simply no way you can finance a brand new middle-class entitlement program without having a broad-based tax increase. Democrats are simply going to have to come to terms with this.
So here's my question: Do you believe it's unreasonable to ask someone to pay taxes on the difference between the costs of these two plans:
- a plan that has free surgery, free X-rays, free CT Scans, free MRIs, $10 doctor visits, $30 non-preferred brand-name prescription drugs, free well-baby care, unlimited choice of provider networks, discounted gym membership, etc. (NH State employee plans)
- a plan that has a $300/$600 deductible, 10% co-insurance, $5,000/$7,000 out-of-pocket cap, and no dental or eye-care (FEHBP BC/BS Standard Option)
so a family with a diabetic child earning $65,000/yr. pays 15 percent of their income on health care rather than 30 percent of their income on health care each year?
The truth is that if you want to control health care costs, you have to ask people either to (1) get less for what they currently pay, or (2) pay more more for what they currently have. The public option at Medicare rates, for example, follows (1) as lower reimbursement rates for providers means less provider participation, which means less choice of provider for those in the public plan.
Also, if you are going to say the employer exclusion is progressive because it cuts taxes more for a middle-income American as a percentage of income than that of a wealthy person, then by that logic the Bush tax cuts were progressive because as deep as the cuts were for higher-income Americans, as a percentage of income, the cuts were much greater for lower and middle-income families.
The bottom line: cheap populism and the failure to make difficult choices about health care costs are what got us into this mess. Again, if you want to control health care costs, you have to ask people either to (1) get less for what they currently pay, or (2) pay more more for what they currently have.
I'm not sure how this can hold water. The tax rate on the rich was once something approaching 90%. Now it's, as you note, 35%. There seems to be a lot of room for growth there.
The main point still stands, I think. "Lowering health care costs" by taxing the middle class - who's already underinsured and hurting in this economy - is not the kind of cost cutting we're interested in.
Who excatly decided that someone making over $250,000 is not already paying their "fair" share? What is a "fair" share?
Why do you think the government should take more of someones money and simply give a benefit to someone else because they don't want to pay for it? Your position is simply you don't want to pay, so let's take it from someone else.
They got a fat tax cut under Bush, so yeah, they're not paying their fair share.
That is such a ridiculous statement. Before 1913, there were no income taxes. So one could make a similar argument that any tax is more than a fair share. Taxes for basic services (defense, streets, etc.) are understandable, but increasing taxes to pay for entitlements is just a redistribution of income. Besides, who determines what a "fair share" is? Is it 10%, 25%, 50% or 100%? Yours is just an argument to get a free benefit by passing the buck to other hardworking Americans.
No, it's an argument that those in society who can most afford it should help pay for all of our care. That's not to say we should get off free - we should pay what we can afford. That goes for all of us, those that can afford more and those than can afford less.
Jason, thanks for your comment "those in society who can most afford it should help pay for all of our care." Glad you agree that this is just a redistribution scheme.
What else do you want those taxpayers to pay? Cars? Wait, we just did that with the clunkers program. Houses? That too with the homebuyers credit. Perhaps $300 checks to everyone below a certain income level? Did that in 2008. Why don't we raise taxes so everyone can go the beach?
As I said in the first post, your position is simply you want someone else to foot the bill for your coverage.
And, do you really think that this will end on only those zillionaires making over $250,000? With a federal debt over $10 TRILLION, everyone (at least those that pay taxes) will be paying higher taxes.
Everyone should foot the bill, and indeed, in all the plans on the table, everyone would be asked to pay. They just pay in proportion to what they can afford, that's all.
And if they can't afford it, someone else pays? Then, what is next?
The drive to block the excise tax is misguided and is a threat to health care reform. You can't say, on one hand, you support reforms. Then expect a very small portion of the population to foot the bill.
We're all going to have to put something in if we want health care reform and health care security.
There is also sound evidence the excise tax will in fact bend the cost curve and benefit the system overall. The forces opposing the tax are misusing the numbers coming out of the Joint Committee on Taxation and CBO.
The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities has published a good explaination of why the tax will be useful. Please see below:
http://www.cbpp.org/
As Richard said, there are lots of ways to bend the cost curve. There's no need to use the method that will tax the middle class as well.
Jason,
My last comment on this site. I think most can agree that there are changes that need to happen in our health care system, portability, nationwide cometition rather than by state, protection for those with pre existing conditions, protection for those that get sick without their policies increasing substantially.
But it is crazy to applaude what is happening now as health care "reform". There is nothing that will reform the system, such as lowering costs, lowering lawsuit possibility, lowering defensive services. The current proposition is just adding costs and people to the system, and adding a government influence that is inefficient in everything they do. Not to mention asking someone else to pay for the added costs.
You can wish that the costs only hit the rich (those earning more than $250k by your definition), but it is ridiculous to think that another healthcare plan will not affect everyone. Check out the real off balance sheet liability for the existing Medicare plan and you should be really scared as to what cost you will be paying somewhere in the future.
So, please try to use reasonable judgement for your position that someone who earns an income over some subjectively detemined level should be paying for costs of those who don't.
How will you feel when the next movement pushes a view that ANYONE who pays taxes should have their taxes increased to pay for the next new service for anyone who does not pay (isn't that close to 50% of the American population??) That is coming soon.
Just for the record, I don't earn over $250k. I just have aspirations to get there and don't want to end up wasting the effort.
Best of luck in your endeavor.
The allegation that health reform will increase costs for most people in the system would have to be proven. As for tort reform and all that, even the doctors admit it isn't anything but a distraction:
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/06/01/090601fa_fact_gawande
The only problem with the excise tax is different states pay Very different amounts for the same health care plan. A $21,000 plan in ct is Not the same as a $21,000 plan in Mississippi. So if lived somewhere else my plan would not cost this much & I wouldn't have to pay the tax….how is this fair?